Industry Performance And Private Equity

By M. Isi Eromosele

There are several alternative perspectives that can be offered as to how Private Equity investments can affect the prospects of an industry.

The first area of focus should be on the performance of industries where Private Equity funds have been active relative to industries where these investors have not been active.

A central hypothesis since in business has been that private equity has the ability to improve the operations of firms. By closely monitoring managers, restricting free cash flow through the use of leverage and giving Managers equity incentives, it is argued, private equity-backed firms are able to improve operations in the firms they back.

 These leveraged buyouts (LBOs) may not only affect the bought-out firm itself but may also increase competitive pressure and force competitors to improve their own operations.

Recent  studies  have  used large  samples  and  a  variety  of performance  measures  to more directly assess whether private equity makes a difference in the management of the firms in which  they  invest.
They show  that  private  equity-backed firms  are  on  average the best-managed  ownership group in the sample, though  they  cannot  rule  out  the  possibility these firms were better managed before the PE transaction.

They show that private equity-backed firms experienced a substantial productivity growth advantage (about two percentage points) in the two years following the transaction. About two-thirds of this differential is due to improved productivity among continuing establishments of the firms. 

Reversed Leverage Buyouts (RLBOs)  appear  to  consistently  outperform other IPOs  and  the  stock  market  as  a  whole. Large RLBOs that are backed by PE firms with more capital under management perform better, while quick flips - when PE firms sell off an investment soon after acquisition, underperform.

The impact of economic cycles

Numerous  practitioner  accounts  over  the  years  have  suggested  that  the  Private Equity industry is highly cyclical, with periods of easy financing availability (often in response to the successes of earlier  transactions)  leading  to  an  acceleration  of  deal  volume,  greater  use  of  leverage,  higher valuations  and  ultimately  more  troubled  investments.

The level of leverage is driven by the cost  of  debt,  rather  than  the  more  industry- and  firm-specific  factors  that  affect  leverage  in publicly  traded  firms.  The availability of leverage is also strongly associated with higher valuation levels. The 1980s buyout boom saw an increase in valuations, reliance on public debt and incentive problems (for example, parties cashing out at the time of transaction).

Moreover, in the transactions done at the market peak, the outcomes were disappointing: of the 66 largest buyouts completed between 1986 and 1988, 38% experienced  financial  distress,  which  they  define  as  default  or  an  actual  or  attempted restructuring of debt obligations due to difficulties in making payments. 27% actually did default on debt repayments, often in conjunction with a Chapter 11 filing.

These  findings  corroborate the suggestions  that  availability  of  financing  impacts  booms and  busts  in  the Private Equity market. If firms completing buyouts at market  peaks employ leverage excessively, we may expect industries with heavy buyout  activity  to experience more intense subsequent downturns.

Moreover, the effects of this overinvestment would be exacerbated if PE investments  drive  rivals,  not  backed  by  private  equity,  to  aggressively  invest  and  leverage themselves.

Private equity-backed firms may do better during downturns because their investors constitute a concentrated shareholder base, which can continue to provide equity financing in a way that might be difficult to arrange for other companies during downturns.

M. Isi Eromosele is the President | Chief Executive Officer | Executive Creative Director of Oseme Group - Oseme Creative | Oseme Consulting | Oseme Finance
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