Options for Managing A Global Systemic Bank Crisis


By M. Isi Eromosele

The on-going financial crisis results not from a cyclical or managerial failure, but from a structural one.

So far, the conventional solutions that are being applied - nationalization of the problem assets (as in the original Paulson bailout) or nationalization of the banks (as in Europe) only deal with the symptoms, not the systemic cause of today’s banking crisis.

Similarly, the financial re-regulation that has been on countries’ political agenda will, at best, reduce the frequency of such crises, but not avoid their re-occurrence.

An encompassing and resilient solution will require a systemic understanding and technical answer that would ensure that such crashes become a phenomenon of the past. This would necessitate a conceptual breakthrough that takes its evidence from balanced, structurally sound and highly functioning eco-systems, including monetary and financial ones.

From a systemic perspective, a sustainable vitality must be maintained that diversifies the types of global currencies and institutions and introduces new ones that are designed specifically to increase the availability of money in its prime function as a medium of exchange, rather than for savings or speculation.

Additionally, these currencies would be expressly designed to link unused resources with unmet needs within communities, regions or countries. These currencies are would be complementary because they would not replace the conventional national money, but rather, operate in parallel with it.




Application to Financial/Monetary Systems

Viewing economies as flow systems aligns directly into money’s primary function as a medium of exchange. In this view, money is to the real economy like biomass in an ecosystem. It is an essential vehicle for catalyzing processes, allocating resources and generally allowing the exchange system to work as a synergetic whole.

It must be emphasized that the findings described above are relevant for any network of a similar structure, therefore the applicability to an economic network is not simply an analogy, but a direct application of the theoretical framework described above.

The connection to structure is indeed immediately apparent. In economies, as in ecosystems and living organisms, the health of the whole depends heavily on the structure by which the catalyzing medium, in this case, money, circulates among businesses and individuals. Money must continue to circulate in sufficiency to all corners of the whole world because poor circulation will strangle either the supply side or the demand side of the global economy, or both.

The global monetary system is itself an obvious flow network structure, in which monopolistic national currencies flow within each country (or group of countries in the case of the Euro) and interconnect on a global level.

The technical justification for enforcing a monopoly of national currencies within each country was to optimize the efficiency of price formation and exchanges in national markets. Tight regulations are in place in every country to maintain these monopolies.

Seemingly efficient and sophisticated global communications infrastructures had been built to link and trade these national currencies. The trading volume in the foreign exchange markets reached an impressive $3.2 trillion per day in 2007, just before the global financial crisis began, to which another daily $2.1 trillion of currency derivatives should be added (Bank of International Settlements).

No one questioned the efficiency of these markets, but their lack of resilience has been amply demonstrated in the on-going financial crisis. The global network of the monopolistic national monies evolved into an overly efficient and dangerously brittle system.

This system’s lack of resilience, however, has shown up not in the technical field of the computer networks (which all have backups), but clearly in the financial realm. This fact has been spectacularly demonstrated by the large number of monetary and banking crashes.

Such crisis, particularly a combined monetary and banking crash, is the worse thing that can happen to the global financial system.

Even more ironically, whenever a banking crisis unfolds, governments invariably help the larger banks to absorb the smaller ones, under the misguided logic that the efficiency of the system is thereby further increased.

When a failing bank has proven to be “too big to fail”, why not consider the option to break it up into smaller units that can be made to compete with each other; similarly to what was done in the U.S., for instance, with the break up of the Bell telephone monopoly into competing “Baby Bell’s”? Instead, what tends to be done is to make banks that are “too big to fail” into still bigger ones, until they become “too big to bail”.

The global financial system is yet to formally quantify the window of viability of the global monetary system, although such an exercise is achievable if the data about global flows by currency and institution are utilized.

However, seen as an ecosystem, the global financial system is dealing with a monoculture of bank-debt money worldwide. A monoculture is by definition lacking the diversity of any natural ecosystem and pushes the system away from the resiliency.

Similarly, the substance that circulates in the global economic network, money, is also maintained as a monopoly of a single type of currency (bank-debt money, created with interest).

Imagine a planetary ecosystem where only one single type of plant or animal is tolerated and artificially maintained and where any manifestation of diversity is eradicated as an inappropriate ‘competitor’ because it is believed it would reduce the efficiency of the whole.

The dynamics of an artificially enforced financial monoculture in a complex system where efficiency is the only criterion considered relevant. The only eventual possible outcome of such a system is systemic collapse.

The Systemic Solution

The systemic solution to the global monetary crisis, therefore, is to increase the resilience of the monetary system, even if at first sight that may be less efficient.

Conventional economic thinking assumes the de-facto monopolies of national monies as an unquestionable given. The logical lesson from nature is that systemic monetary sustainability requires a diversity of currency systems, so that multiple and more diverse agents and channels of monetary links and exchanges can emerge.

The operation of complementary currencies of diverse types would enable the global economy to flow back towards a higher sustainability. While this process clearly reduces efficiency, that is the price to pay for increased resilience of the whole.

Complementary currencies would facilitate transactions that otherwise wouldn’t occur, linking otherwise unused resources to unmet needs and encouraging diversity and interconnections that otherwise wouldn’t exist.

Allow several types of currencies to circulate among people and businesses to facilitate their exchanges, through the implementation of complementary currencies. These different types of currencies are called complementary because they would be designed to operate in parallel with, as complements to, conventional national monies.

The structural problem is the monopoly of one type of currency and replacing one monopoly with another isn’t the solution.

Complementary currencies would encourage a much higher increase in the degree of diversity and interconnectivity in the global system, due to their ability to catalyze business processes and individual efforts that are too small or inefficient to compete with national currencies in a global market place.

This approach will certainly appear unorthodox to conventional thinking, but conventional thinking is precisely what got the global financial into trouble to begin with. This insight can also resolve the dilemma of what to do now about today’s systemic global banking crisis.

M. Isi Eromosele is the President | Chief Executive Officer | Executive Creative Director of Oseme Group - Oseme Creative | Oseme Consulting | Oseme Finance
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