By M. Isi Eromosele
During the great period of globalization before the First
World War, the international economy was based on global trade and global
finance with monetary policy largely fixed under the gold standard. After the
Second World War, a new international system was designed based upon global
trade, fixed exchange rates and essentially domestic finance.
This system did not include global financial regulations as
finance was to be largely nationally constrained. Over the succeeding decades, however,
capital markets became global. The consequences have been a return to a level
of financial and monetary instability not seen since the period following the
First World War. The most dramatic example of this instability is the lingering
global financial crisis.
There is a fundamental need to redesign the architecture of today’s
global financial system to meet the requirements of this new reality, with
established mechanisms to address economic coordination, macroeconomic and monetary
management, development and financial crisis prevention and resolution, as well
as promote trade.
The Global Financial Crisis 2007 – 2011
Unlike in the Asian financial crisis, the majority of
activities in response to the recent global financial crisis has taken place at
either the domestic level or at the European regional level through the EU. At
the international level, coordination initially took place through the G7 and
at a multilateral level through the FSF and the world’s major central banks.
However, from late 2008 this coordination shifted to the G20.
During the initial phases, which mainly affected developed countries, the IMF, MDBs and
WTO played a limited role. Only as the crisis began to spread beyond the G7 did
the IMF and MDBs begin to be involved and even then only in minor ways, at
least until the crisis returned full circle to Europe in
2010 with the Greek and Eurozone financial crises.
No Real Changes
While much has been taking place in the context of the
international financial architecture, it is not apparent that an effective, comprehensive
international design has emerged.
Given that the world is living through the aftermath of the
largest financial and economic crisis since the 1930s, what is remarkable about
the changes enacted in response to the recent one is that they have been so
minor. While there has been a raft of changes in regulations, which are still
evolving at the time of writing, all are essentially at the fringes.
No major changes, such as the introduction of a global
financial transactions tax, or a global sovereign bankruptcy regime or a
fundamental re-conceptualization of the role of ratings’ agencies have been
implemented.
The Obama Administrations’ plan (implemented through
the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and
Consumer Protection Act) to require banks that accept deposits to close their
proprietary trading desks is a significant step, but in all probability not one
that would have avoided the global financial crisis. A bank does not need to
trade its own money to be able to generate toxic loans, and repackage them into
highly-rated securities of questionable value.
Intellectual Trick
In Germany ,
in Japan and in
developing Asia , finance was meant to provide capital to
industry and individuals and that remains the major role of financial
institutions in most economies. Now, however, in the global markets, financial products
are seen as an end in
themselves, as a source of profit to the financial
institutions that invent them.
More fundamentally, however, the assumption is if money is a
good, then trading in it is beneficial. The doctrine of comparative advantage,
the idea that trade between nations is mutually welfare enhancing, is almost
universally accepted and if the playing field is roughly fair, trade certainly
works. And if we treat money as an end in itself, more trade in money must make
countries better off.
This is an intellectual trick, and it is the trick that
underpins financial globalization. The globalization of finance offers real benefits: cheaper
credit and more sophisticated hedging instruments with which to manage risk. But
money is different from goods. So the globalization of finance brings with it
real risks.
Since the 1994 Asia financial crisis,
sovereign financial crises, globally, have become appallingly frequent. There
is a good reason for this. For as long as capital is treated as something it is not, speculators can believe that the
ongoing liberalization of national financial systems will make everyone better off. For as long
as we misunderstand money, the global financial system will remain
dysfunctional.
It is not that financial globalization does not bring
benefits, but the ways in which capital
differ from goods means it has to be managed and regulated
far more carefully than has been the case.
Conceptual Remedies
The financial crisis was a direct result of treating the
creation of financial products as an end in itself, as a valuable driver of
economic growth independent of the products’ effects. A financial sector exists
to provide capital, a necessary input into the productive process. Just like
telecommunications, electricity and roads, a financial system is an important
piece of infrastructure.
Rethinking the global financial system is vital. What is
needed now is for governments around the world to open their minds and imagine
a truly functional global financial system that serves the interests of all
nations. A global financial transactions tax would be a great place to start.
Without such a fundamental rethinking of the true role of finance
and the current system, another global financial crisis in the years to come is
almost certain. For things to change, fundamental reconsideration is necessary
to support change in preventing similar crises in future, and so far no fundamental
changes have been effected.
M. Isi Eromosele is
the President | Chief Executive Officer | Executive Creative Director of Oseme
Group - Oseme Creative | Oseme Consulting | Oseme Finance
Copyright Control © 2012 Oseme Group
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